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Huatai Securities: It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Huatai Securities said that the overall inflation in November in the United States was in line with expectations, and the slight cooling of service inflation partially eased the market's concerns about inflation rebound. It is expected that the Fed will cut interest rates by 25bp in December, but the path of interest rate cut in 2025 is highly uncertain. Recently, the overall economic momentum of the United States has rebounded: from September to November, the PMI of Markit manufacturing in the United States has rebounded for three consecutive months; After the election, enterprises, especially small enterprises, are expected to improve, and the recent NFIB SME confidence index has rebounded significantly; The latest Atlanta GDP Now shows that the fourth quarter GDP growth rate of the United States is 3.3% year-on-year. However, considering that the unemployment rate data rebounded in November, and the recent inflation is still relatively moderate, we expect that the recent data may not prevent the Fed from cutting interest rates at its December meeting next week. However, in 2025, the growth and inflation path of the United States was disturbed by the Trump policy, and the Federal Reserve may "make a camera choice" on the basis of watching the overall economic trend. There is uncertainty in the path of interest rate cut in 2025.Huajin Securities: Concerned about the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea, Huajin Securities Research Report pointed out that 1) On December 11th, the 2024 China E-sports Industry Annual Conference was held in Beijing, and the 2024 E-sports Annual Report was released during the conference. The data showed that the e-sports industry showed a positive development trend. "High-quality IP+ games" resonance mode or long-term empowerment game industry development. 2) The popularity of Marvel Comics is unprecedented, and the head manufacturers inject new IP vitality into the game. The achievements of "Marvel Comics Strive for the Front" may set a benchmark for the market, open the world fun competition+high-quality IP or give birth to new topics. 3) "Adapting to local conditions" is both internal and external, and the IP effect is remarkable. Based on the model of Watching Pioneer 2, the "big IP+ competition" has been deeply cultivated. The globalization has brought unprecedented popularity to Marvel Comics, and its novel model is expected to give full play to the value of high-quality IP, provide guidance and reference for industrial development, and empower the development of the game industry for a long time. 4) The annual meeting of e-sports industry was held, and the data showed that China e-sports was full of vitality. High-quality IP+ games are expected to continue to inject vitality into the game industry, paying attention to the impact of high-quality IP on e-sports and games going to sea.Market news: Australia will punish technology giants who don't pay for news.

CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025: investment opportunities may be easy first and then difficult. When CICC looks forward to the insurance industry in 2025, it said that it is expected that the stock market and policy expectations will still be the short-term main drivers of the stock price of the sector. Combined with the low profit base and the possible window period, the investment opportunities in the industry may be easy first and then difficult: the short-term stock market will rise sharply or reproduce the general market, and the investment logic will return to long-term contradictions such as interest rate trends after emotional calm.Australia's 3-year government bond yield increased, and Australia's unemployment rate decreased.The Embassy of China in Sudan once again reminds China citizens not to go to Sudan for the time being, and to leave the Sudan as soon as possible if there is no necessary reason. Recently, air strikes and shelling incidents have occurred frequently in Sudan, causing a large number of civilian casualties and the overall security risks remain high. The Embassy in Sudan once again reminded China citizens not to go to Sudan in the near future, and suggested that citizens in China should leave the country as soon as possible if there is no need to stay in the country.

CICC: Inflation in the United States may push the "hawks to cut interest rates". The CICC research report said that inflation data opened the door for the Fed to cut interest rates next week, but we also predicted that the "hawks to cut interest rates" will be staged next week, and the Fed may cut the guidance on interest rate cuts in the bitmap. We predict that the new bitmap will show that the total interest rate will be cut twice in 2025 (compared with four times before), and the federal funds rate will be lowered to a neutral level of 3.75% to 4% by the end of the second quarter of next year.The number of employed people in Australia increased by 35,613 in November, and it is estimated to be 25,000.Spot gold just broke through the $2,720.00/oz mark, and the latest price was $2,720.02/oz, up 0.08% in the day; COMEX gold futures main force recently reported $2,754.60 per ounce, down 0.08% in the day.